Home » ‘Solid economic recovery’ boosts Kentucky’s financial outlook with major credit rating agency

‘Solid economic recovery’ boosts Kentucky’s financial outlook with major credit rating agency

State now expecting $586 million surplus in General Fund

FRANKFORT, Ky. — One of the big three credit rating agencies, Fitch Ratings, improved Kentucky’s financial outlook to stable, reflecting the commonwealth’s solid economic recovery from the pandemic, Gov. Andy Beshear announced Wednesday.

In the periodic rating report issued Tuesday, analysts wrote that the rating “reflects the commonwealth’s solid ability to control revenues and expenditures to maintain fiscal balance, a declining reliance on one-time measures and an elevated but still moderate long-term liability position.”

“This improvement further indicates Kentucky is poised to sprint out of this pandemic and be a leader in the post-COVID economy,” Beshear said.

The new rating also highlights how Kentucky’s employment recovery through March has been slightly ahead of the national pace. Additionally, the report notes significant progress in addressing the state’s pension contribution shortfalls and making full actuarial contributions for all systems as of fiscal year 2019.

Kentucky ended fiscal year 2020 with a $177.5 million General Fund surplus. The state made a $162.5 million deposit into its Budget Reserve Trust Fund, or rainy day fund, bringing the balance to an all-time high of $465.7 million or 4% of fiscal year 2020 General Fund revenue.

On Friday, April 30, the governor said that the fiscal year 2021 third quarter economic and revenue report indicates the state will end the current fiscal year with large surpluses.

“Recent estimates suggest we are going to end our fiscal year with a more than $586 million surplus in the General Fund, and even a $12 million surplus in the Road Fund,” Beshear said. “What that will mean is that we will end up with over a billion dollars in our rainy day fund. It is the most money ever in a rainy day fund in Kentucky by both dollars and percentage of the total budget.”

The governor said the state is also preparing to create more than 14,500 new jobs through a bipartisan agreement reached by lawmakers and his administration during the 2021 regular session. Nearly $1.3 billion in American Rescue Plan Act funds will be used to boost the state’s economy by expanding broadband, delivering clean drinking water and building new schools.